At first glance, the seemingly inadequate attempt by Russian occupation forces in the Kupiansk direction to cross the Oskol River near the village of Dvurechna may have three possible reasons.
This was shared by military analyst and coordinator of the "Information Resistance" group, Konstantin Mashovets, in his Telegram channel.
The first and most likely reason is simply an attempt to distract attention and draw reserves away from our Kupiansk grouping to a secondary area, creating a new "threatening" foothold ahead of the next wave of assault on Kupiansk itself.
The second option, according to the expert, is that the tactical actions across the Oskol near Dvurechna serve as a sort of prologue to the RF troops' advance "from the border" along the right bank of the Oskol, this time involving the "North" grouping of forces, which, if successful, will be supported by simultaneous actions from the enemy "from the frontal side."
The least likely scenario, in the opinion of the military expert, is that the occupiers are genuinely aiming to capture Dvurechna, encircle Kupiansk from the North, breaking through to Lozova Pervaya, as well as the area of the villages of Velyka and Mala Shapkovka - Kondrashovka - Tyshchenkivka, blocking the road from Bolshoy Burluk to Kupiansk.
"Ultimately, it could realistically be any of these three 'versions', or even a compilation or combination of them. There are quite a few factors both 'for' and 'against' each of them," added Konstantin Mashovets.
