Currently, the greatest threat to the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) on the entire southeastern "corner" of the front comes from the breakthrough of Russian occupation troops south of Pokrovsk, which, albeit with some stretch, can be considered operationally tactical.
This was reported by military analyst, retired colonel of the AFU, and coordinator of the "Information Resistance" group, Konstantin Moshovets, on his Telegram channel.
According to the military expert, it is still unclear whether the Russian command's plan for the winter campaign of 2025 includes a complete capture of Pokrovsk, a "re-capture" of Toretsk, Chasiv Yar, Volchansk, or Kupiansk, or a breakthrough in multiple directions simultaneously.
Konstantin Moshovets emphasized that each of these options has many specifics, but it is evident that the main efforts of the Russian occupation forces are currently focused on the Pokrovsk area.
"The real capabilities of the enemy to conduct more or less deep (at least, operational level) offensive operations appear quite questionable at this moment. However, it is clear that they are uneven, and this has already led to the fact that the volume and scale of the so-called 'strategic offensive' of the enemy has been reduced to an offensive in a narrow circle of operational directions (essentially, to 2)," added Konstantin Moshovets.
