On one hand, when discussing an operational breakthrough, 21 km is the distance that the enemy must cover within a day, as the standards dictate that the pace of advancement for tank and mechanized columns under chaotic enemy resistance is 25-30 km per day.
However, on the other hand, we are witnessing the specifics of current combat operations, where the occupiers' offensive is mainly conducted by infantry, resulting in significant losses and very slow progress, making the situation not entirely hopeless. This was stated by military expert and retired colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Sergey Grabsky, in an interview with Elena Kurbanova.
"Therefore, even if we take as a basis, as an axiom, the postulate of Repka that they advance 1-2 km per day, we should talk about a two-week to approximately one-month advance towards the Dnipropetrovsk region, assuming the situation does not change, which I have serious doubts about, because such a leap forward could cost the enemy dearly," – said Sergey Grabsky.
The military expert noted that the enemy must traverse that territory, mobilize their reserves and communications, which is a very complex process, so it is currently difficult to assert that it is a proven fact that they will reach the borders of the Dnipropetrovsk region.
"Can we assume a breakthrough by the enemy into the Dnipropetrovsk region? Yes, we can. How it will unfold further – we will see. Again, many factors influence the situation, namely the readiness of resources, the stretched communications of the enemy, the availability of weapons, military equipment, and the stock of material resources in this particular direction, which we cannot investigate at this time," – added Sergey Grabsky.
